Inspiration from the Golden
Girls
Stephen Chung
Managing Director
Zeppelin Real Estate Analysis Limited
August
2004
When
your humble author was living in North America, he watched a then
popular TV comedy series entitled ¡§The Golden Girls¡¨ which revolved
around several elderly ladies who shared living quarters together and
hilarious moments evolved from their daily routines and interactions.
Naturally, it is not the intent here to discuss TV comedies or
script-writing, just that the fact Hong Kong has more women than men
leads to the contemplation of similar possibilities for real estate,
residential in particular, in terms of demand-user profiling AND
accommodation arrangement now or in future. A few trends which may
contribute toward the realization of say a ¡§Golden Girls¡¨ arrangement:
a)
More women
are now single
= according to published news and reports, there are now some several tens
of thousands of women, mostly in the marriage / child-bearing age, who are
single or have never married. While the bulk of them may be healthy and
having an active lifestyle at the moment, there will come a time when some,
if not all, will have somewhat deteriorated physiques, and at which point,
some form of care and attention will be required. If such problems are not
serious, sharing accommodation with ¡¥compatible¡¦ single women, be such
long-time friends, work colleagues etc, is one way to ¡¥keep company¡¦ and
help watching out for one another.
b)
Women
living longer than men
= women now live to around 82 years old while men live up to an average of
around 77. Given the common situation that husbands are usually older than
their spouse (wife), this means most married women on average are likely to
outlast their husband by more than 5 years (82-77) i.e. it is very likely
that widows will live another 6, 8, or even 10 years on average after their
husband passes away. In short, there will be no lack of single elderly women
in addition to those who have been single all their lifetime as widows join
the rank.
c)
Women
becoming as strong (some say even stronger than) as the men
= not in terms of physique* but in terms of intellect, education,
professional qualification, career, and so on. This, according to some
social service reports, may also be the reason why there are far more single
women today than observed in previous generations = a well-educated,
professional woman with her own career and increased income capability (thus
reducing the financial reliance on men to maintain a certain living standard
and / or dependence on men for her own subsidence) will have more options in
life i.e. (traditional) marriage is not the only way out financially nor
even emotionally-sentimentally. The reports also mentioned not only are such
women being more demanding in potential spouse selection, some men may
actually avoid them out of lack of confidence etc. Added this to the recent
reports that school-girls, whether in primary, secondary, or even
university-level, score generally higher than school-boys, and that girls /
women are now occupying a much higher percentage in enrollment, and using a
simple projection, it is not difficult to envision the trend of not having
sufficient number of say ¡¥matching¡¦ single men for single women to continue
for sometime in the future.
d)
Changes in
social attitude toward marriage
= not too long ago, say in the early part of 20th Century, it was
not uncommon for wives to have to ask their husband, or the husband¡¦s
parents, for ¡§permission¡¨ to go back to their ¡§maiden¡¨ homes to visit their
own parents, and usually only for a short period. This may sound barbaric
and unreasonable to women (and men) today but was true of those days, and
women (and men) today do not always entertain the idea of having to live
with parents-in-law, having achieved financial independence and being in
many instances even the dominant bread-winner. While certain social-family
pressure still exists for women to get married, the stigma (of women not
being able to marry) is not as severe as it once was.
In view of
the above, perhaps it may be worthwhile for real estate developers to
consider the likely demand from such social trends and gear their
residential development and design toward attracting in part these golden
girls (to be).
*Author¡¦s
note = while men are generally on average still physically taller and
stronger (in terms of lifting heavy stuff etc), this does not imply men are
generally healthier. In fact, the reverse may be true as reflected in life
insurance premiums worldwide = for the same health conditions and age, men
pay some 30 to 60% more on average. Guys, we tend to kaput (German, means
broken) more.
Notes:
The article and/or content contained herein are for general reference only
and are not meant to substitute for proper professional advice and/or due
diligence. The author(s) and Zeppelin, including its staff, associates,
consultants, executives and the like do not accept any responsibility or
liability for losses, damages, claims and the like arising out of the use or
reference to the content contained herein.
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